Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Sector

Flowserve Corporation (FLS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29.48 - $44.25$36.47
Multi-Stage$39.77 - $43.60$41.65
Blended Fair Value$39.06
Current Price$53.14
Upside-26.49%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.10%2.64%0.840.800.790.790.790.750.750.750.740.71
YoY Growth--5.23%0.39%-0.05%0.43%4.62%0.14%0.18%1.52%4.37%10.02%
Dividend Yield--1.71%1.73%2.33%2.21%2.03%3.16%1.62%1.74%1.53%1.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)452.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)110.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)342.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)90.5656.6033.96
Cash Retained (M)342.52342.52342.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-90.56-56.60-33.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)251.96285.92308.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)131.97131.97131.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.912.172.34
LTM Dividend per Share0.840.840.84
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.912.172.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.743.003.17
WACC / Discount Rate9.62%9.62%9.62%
Growth Rate0.28%1.28%2.28%
Fair Value$29.48$36.47$44.25
Upside / Downside-44.52%-31.36%-16.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)452.78458.59464.47470.43476.46482.57497.05
Payout Ratio24.35%37.48%50.61%63.74%76.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)110.26171.89235.08299.86366.26434.32459.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.62%9.62%9.62%
Growth Rate0.28%1.28%2.28%
Year 1 PV (M)155.26156.80158.35
Year 2 PV (M)191.79195.63199.51
Year 3 PV (M)220.97227.64234.45
Year 4 PV (M)243.78253.65263.82
Year 5 PV (M)261.11274.39288.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,175.944,388.344,609.30
Equity Value (M)5,248.845,496.475,753.65
Shares Outstanding (M)131.97131.97131.97
Fair Value$39.77$41.65$43.60
Upside / Downside-25.15%-21.62%-17.95%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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