Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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FedEx Corporation (FDX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$407.50 - $1,110.09$628.18
Multi-Stage$279.50 - $305.25$292.14
Blended Fair Value$460.16
Current Price$231.07
Upside99.14%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS14.55%19.42%5.535.204.863.272.832.802.822.211.761.14
YoY Growth--6.35%6.97%48.42%15.60%1.03%-0.59%27.66%25.59%53.79%22.03%
Dividend Yield--2.39%1.74%1.86%1.55%1.07%1.27%1.78%0.91%0.82%0.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,122.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,345.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,777.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)824.40515.25309.15
Cash Retained (M)2,777.002,777.002,777.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-824.40-515.25-309.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,952.602,261.752,467.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)242.25242.25242.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.069.3410.19
LTM Dividend per Share5.555.555.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.069.3410.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend13.6114.8915.74
WACC / Discount Rate9.02%9.02%9.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$407.50$628.18$1,110.09
Upside / Downside76.35%171.86%380.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,122.004,389.934,675.284,979.175,302.815,647.505,816.92
Payout Ratio32.63%44.10%55.58%67.05%78.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,345.001,936.132,598.423,338.634,164.095,082.755,380.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.02%9.02%9.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,759.191,775.871,792.54
Year 2 PV (M)2,145.212,186.072,227.31
Year 3 PV (M)2,504.432,576.322,649.57
Year 4 PV (M)2,838.182,947.333,059.59
Year 5 PV (M)3,147.743,299.783,457.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)55,314.3257,986.0260,759.97
Equity Value (M)67,709.0670,771.3873,946.63
Shares Outstanding (M)242.25242.25242.25
Fair Value$279.50$292.14$305.25
Upside / Downside20.96%26.43%32.10%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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