Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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FDJ United (FDJ.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Gambling, Resorts & CasinosSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$190.92 - $831.15$459.52
Multi-Stage$101.90 - $111.20$106.47
Blended Fair Value$283.00
Current Price$30.04
Upside842.06%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS22.68%9.15%1.761.361.230.890.450.630.680.651.230.71
YoY Growth--29.72%10.41%37.67%99.88%-29.50%-6.19%4.82%-47.51%72.33%-2.92%
Dividend Yield--4.74%4.10%3.28%2.30%1.20%2.66%2.98%2.84%5.42%3.14%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)778.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)707.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)70.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)155.7297.3358.40
Cash Retained (M)70.8070.8070.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-155.72-97.33-58.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)-84.92-26.5312.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)186.30186.30186.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.46-0.140.07
LTM Dividend per Share3.803.803.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.46-0.140.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.343.663.87
WACC / Discount Rate7.35%7.35%7.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$190.92$459.52$831.15
Upside / Downside535.55%1,429.70%2,666.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)778.60829.21883.11940.511,001.641,066.751,098.75
Payout Ratio90.91%90.73%90.54%90.36%90.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)707.80752.30799.60849.87903.29960.071,016.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.35%7.35%7.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)694.23700.81707.39
Year 2 PV (M)680.92693.89706.98
Year 3 PV (M)667.86687.03706.57
Year 4 PV (M)655.05680.24706.15
Year 5 PV (M)642.48673.51705.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,644.2016,399.8217,184.36
Equity Value (M)18,984.7419,835.3020,717.18
Shares Outstanding (M)186.30186.30186.30
Fair Value$101.90$106.47$111.20
Upside / Downside239.23%254.43%270.18%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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