Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Fagron N.V. (FAGR.BR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$376.34 - $443.44$415.55
Multi-Stage$100.93 - $110.69$105.72
Blended Fair Value$260.63
Current Price$22.45
Upside1,060.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS19.58%-0.53%0.290.250.200.180.080.120.100.000.000.43
YoY Growth--15.23%25.35%11.84%125.95%-33.02%20.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%41.29%
Dividend Yield--1.72%1.51%1.50%1.21%0.42%0.61%0.69%0.00%0.00%6.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)163.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)45.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)118.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)32.7220.4512.27
Cash Retained (M)118.38118.38118.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-32.72-20.45-12.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)85.6597.93106.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)72.9872.9872.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.171.341.45
LTM Dividend per Share0.620.620.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.171.341.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.791.962.07
WACC / Discount Rate5.24%5.24%5.24%
Growth Rate4.91%5.91%6.91%
Fair Value$376.34$415.55$443.44
Upside / Downside1,576.35%1,750.98%1,875.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)163.62173.29183.53194.38205.86218.02224.56
Payout Ratio27.65%40.12%52.59%65.06%77.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)45.2469.5396.52126.46159.60196.22207.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.24%5.24%5.24%
Growth Rate4.91%5.91%6.91%
Year 1 PV (M)65.4466.0666.69
Year 2 PV (M)85.5087.1488.80
Year 3 PV (M)105.44108.49111.59
Year 4 PV (M)125.25130.10135.08
Year 5 PV (M)144.94151.98159.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,839.427,171.677,516.70
Equity Value (M)7,366.007,715.438,078.14
Shares Outstanding (M)72.9872.9872.98
Fair Value$100.93$105.72$110.69
Upside / Downside349.59%370.92%393.06%

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