Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

GuocoLand Limited (F17.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.44 - $23.99$12.90
Multi-Stage$5.74 - $6.31$6.02
Blended Fair Value$9.46
Current Price$1.50
Upside530.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-3.01%1.85%0.060.060.060.060.060.070.070.070.090.05
YoY Growth--0.14%0.01%0.00%0.00%-14.29%0.00%0.00%-22.22%80.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.99%3.76%3.91%3.78%3.73%4.77%3.47%3.67%3.95%2.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)137.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)66.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)70.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.4917.1810.31
Cash Retained (M)70.7570.7570.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.49-17.18-10.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)43.2653.5760.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,114.381,114.381,114.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.110.11
WACC / Discount Rate5.02%5.02%5.02%
Growth Rate3.15%4.15%5.15%
Fair Value$5.44$12.90$23.99
Upside / Downside262.63%760.28%1,499.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)137.43143.14149.07155.26161.70168.41173.46
Payout Ratio48.52%56.82%65.11%73.41%81.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)66.6881.3297.07113.97132.12151.57160.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.02%5.02%5.02%
Growth Rate3.15%4.15%5.15%
Year 1 PV (M)76.6977.4478.18
Year 2 PV (M)86.3388.0189.71
Year 3 PV (M)95.5998.40101.26
Year 4 PV (M)104.50108.61112.84
Year 5 PV (M)113.06118.65124.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,924.626,217.436,521.71
Equity Value (M)6,400.796,708.537,028.15
Shares Outstanding (M)1,114.381,114.381,114.38
Fair Value$5.74$6.02$6.31
Upside / Downside282.92%301.33%320.45%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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