Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Eternit S.A. (ETER3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.33 - $27.31$18.69
Multi-Stage$17.92 - $19.67$18.78
Blended Fair Value$18.74
Current Price$4.48
Upside318.23%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS311.65%-8.93%0.440.360.720.240.000.000.000.000.110.80
YoY Growth--23.58%-50.24%196.90%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-85.99%-29.09%
Dividend Yield--9.02%5.16%8.41%1.72%0.00%0.02%0.00%0.00%1.94%10.93%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)47.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.67
(=) Cash Retained (M)30.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.415.883.53
Cash Retained (M)30.4030.4030.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.41-5.88-3.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)20.9924.5226.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)61.1361.1361.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.340.400.44
LTM Dividend per Share0.270.270.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.340.400.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.620.670.71
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate2.02%3.02%4.02%
Fair Value$13.33$18.69$27.31
Upside / Downside197.65%317.29%509.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)47.0748.4949.9651.4753.0354.6356.27
Payout Ratio35.41%46.33%57.24%68.16%79.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.6722.4628.6035.0841.9349.1752.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate2.02%3.02%4.02%
Year 1 PV (M)20.8421.0521.25
Year 2 PV (M)24.6225.1025.59
Year 3 PV (M)28.0228.8529.70
Year 4 PV (M)31.0732.3133.58
Year 5 PV (M)33.8035.4937.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)957.261,005.101,054.84
Equity Value (M)1,095.611,147.901,202.21
Shares Outstanding (M)61.1361.1361.13
Fair Value$17.92$18.78$19.67
Upside / Downside300.07%319.17%339.00%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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