Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Element Solutions Inc (ESI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.00 - $20.02$15.53
Multi-Stage$12.21 - $13.34$12.76
Blended Fair Value$14.15
Current Price$25.17
Upside-43.80%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.320.320.320.260.050.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--1.03%-1.28%26.66%399.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.43%1.28%1.67%1.17%0.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)239.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)77.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)161.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)47.8829.9317.96
Cash Retained (M)161.60161.60161.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-47.88-29.93-17.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)113.72131.68143.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)242.55242.55242.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.470.540.59
LTM Dividend per Share0.320.320.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.470.540.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.790.860.91
WACC / Discount Rate10.18%10.18%10.18%
Growth Rate3.37%4.37%5.37%
Fair Value$12.00$15.53$20.02
Upside / Downside-52.34%-38.30%-20.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)239.40249.87260.80272.20284.11296.54305.43
Payout Ratio32.50%44.00%55.50%67.00%78.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)77.80109.94144.74182.37223.02266.88282.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.18%10.18%10.18%
Growth Rate3.37%4.37%5.37%
Year 1 PV (M)98.8399.78100.74
Year 2 PV (M)116.96119.23121.53
Year 3 PV (M)132.48136.36140.32
Year 4 PV (M)145.63151.35157.23
Year 5 PV (M)156.65164.38172.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,310.402,424.342,542.72
Equity Value (M)2,960.953,095.443,234.95
Shares Outstanding (M)242.55242.55242.55
Fair Value$12.21$12.76$13.34
Upside / Downside-51.50%-49.30%-47.01%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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