Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Elmos Semiconductor SE (ELG.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$174.37 - $479.18$269.50
Multi-Stage$116.76 - $127.65$122.11
Blended Fair Value$195.81
Current Price$81.90
Upside139.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.35%11.64%0.850.750.650.550.550.600.460.400.380.38
YoY Growth--13.46%15.45%17.99%0.17%-7.92%29.24%14.38%6.18%0.54%33.67%
Dividend Yield--1.46%1.04%0.72%1.05%1.53%3.15%2.30%1.62%1.69%3.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)124.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)106.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24.8115.519.30
Cash Retained (M)106.87106.87106.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-24.81-15.51-9.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)82.0691.3797.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.1517.1517.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.795.335.69
LTM Dividend per Share1.001.001.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.795.335.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.796.336.69
WACC / Discount Rate9.00%9.00%9.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$174.37$269.50$479.18
Upside / Downside112.90%229.07%485.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)124.04132.10140.69149.84159.57169.95175.05
Payout Ratio13.84%29.07%44.30%59.54%74.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17.1738.4162.3389.21119.31152.95161.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.00%9.00%9.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)34.9035.2335.57
Year 2 PV (M)51.4852.4653.45
Year 3 PV (M)66.9668.8870.84
Year 4 PV (M)81.3984.5287.74
Year 5 PV (M)94.8299.40104.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,672.771,753.561,837.45
Equity Value (M)2,002.332,094.072,189.21
Shares Outstanding (M)17.1517.1517.15
Fair Value$116.76$122.11$127.65
Upside / Downside42.56%49.09%55.87%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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