Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Elektro Redes S.A. (EKTR3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$517.48 - $955.58$895.52
Multi-Stage$151.46 - $165.76$158.48
Blended Fair Value$527.00
Current Price$46.99
Upside1,021.51%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS61.43%22.67%10.183.737.373.240.290.930.002.311.422.68
YoY Growth--173.27%-49.44%127.39%1,001.75%-68.33%0.00%-100.00%62.85%-46.89%102.76%
Dividend Yield--19.33%7.93%19.96%10.80%1.09%5.31%0.00%11.02%6.46%11.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)931.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)441.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)490.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)186.20116.3869.83
Cash Retained (M)490.00490.00490.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-186.20-116.38-69.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)303.80373.63420.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)193.76193.76193.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.571.932.17
LTM Dividend per Share2.282.282.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.571.932.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.844.204.44
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$517.48$895.52$955.58
Upside / Downside1,001.26%1,805.76%1,933.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)931.00991.521,055.961,124.601,197.701,275.551,313.82
Payout Ratio47.37%55.89%64.42%72.95%81.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)441.00554.20680.26820.37975.811,148.001,215.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)516.54521.44526.34
Year 2 PV (M)590.95602.20613.57
Year 3 PV (M)664.23683.30702.72
Year 4 PV (M)736.39764.71793.84
Year 5 PV (M)807.46846.46886.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)26,031.4627,288.7928,594.24
Equity Value (M)29,347.0330,706.9032,117.66
Shares Outstanding (M)193.76193.76193.76
Fair Value$151.46$158.48$165.76
Upside / Downside222.33%237.26%252.76%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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