Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Excelerate Energy, Inc. (EE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Renewable UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$30.85 - $50.39$39.58
Multi-Stage$39.60 - $43.46$41.50
Blended Fair Value$40.54
Current Price$25.19
Upside60.92%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS108.96%0.00%0.900.090.190.000.260.020.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--886.21%-51.50%0.00%-100.00%1,067.69%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.14%0.58%0.85%0.00%0.98%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)78.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)71.33
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.719.825.89
Cash Retained (M)71.3371.3371.33
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.71-9.82-5.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)55.6161.5165.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)28.7228.7228.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.942.142.28
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.942.142.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.192.392.53
WACC / Discount Rate8.54%8.54%8.54%
Growth Rate1.35%2.35%3.35%
Fair Value$30.85$39.58$50.39
Upside / Downside22.46%57.12%100.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)78.5780.4182.3084.2486.2288.2490.89
Payout Ratio9.21%25.37%41.53%57.69%73.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.2420.4034.1848.5963.6779.4284.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.54%8.54%8.54%
Growth Rate1.35%2.35%3.35%
Year 1 PV (M)18.6118.8018.98
Year 2 PV (M)28.4529.0129.58
Year 3 PV (M)36.9038.0039.13
Year 4 PV (M)44.1145.8747.69
Year 5 PV (M)50.2052.7255.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)959.151,007.411,057.60
Equity Value (M)1,137.411,191.821,248.33
Shares Outstanding (M)28.7228.7228.72
Fair Value$39.60$41.50$43.46
Upside / Downside57.21%64.73%72.54%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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