Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Eagle Bancorp Montana, Inc. (EBMT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$113.02 - $343.72$322.12
Multi-Stage$46.48 - $50.87$48.63
Blended Fair Value$185.38
Current Price$17.27
Upside973.40%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.51%14.72%0.580.570.520.390.330.310.250.180.150.15
YoY Growth--2.09%9.38%34.56%15.41%8.64%20.65%42.09%17.69%2.49%1.31%
Dividend Yield--3.45%4.44%3.67%1.73%1.37%1.90%1.51%0.86%0.77%1.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)13.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)8.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.711.691.02
Cash Retained (M)8.978.978.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.71-1.69-1.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)6.267.287.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.837.837.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.800.931.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.580.580.58
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.800.931.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.381.511.60
WACC / Discount Rate6.79%6.79%6.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$113.02$322.12$343.72
Upside / Downside554.44%1,765.20%1,890.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)13.5414.4215.3616.3517.4218.5519.11
Payout Ratio33.76%45.01%56.26%67.50%78.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.576.498.6411.0413.7216.6917.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.79%6.79%6.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)6.026.086.13
Year 2 PV (M)7.437.587.72
Year 3 PV (M)8.819.079.32
Year 4 PV (M)10.1610.5510.95
Year 5 PV (M)11.4712.0212.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)320.22335.69351.75
Equity Value (M)364.11380.97398.46
Shares Outstanding (M)7.837.837.83
Fair Value$46.48$48.63$50.87
Upside / Downside169.14%181.61%194.54%

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