Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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eBay Inc. (EBAY)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$42.20 - $64.69$52.69
Multi-Stage$59.73 - $65.53$62.57
Blended Fair Value$57.63
Current Price$90.95
Upside-36.63%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.42%0.00%1.111.101.020.970.930.990.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.95%7.98%4.94%4.25%-5.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.65%2.11%2.30%1.70%1.53%3.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,182.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)528.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,654.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)436.40272.75163.65
Cash Retained (M)1,654.001,654.001,654.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-436.40-272.75-163.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,217.601,381.251,490.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)478.25478.25478.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.552.893.12
LTM Dividend per Share1.101.101.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.552.893.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.653.994.22
WACC / Discount Rate8.89%8.89%8.89%
Growth Rate0.22%1.22%2.22%
Fair Value$42.20$52.69$64.69
Upside / Downside-53.60%-42.06%-28.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,182.002,208.712,235.752,263.122,290.832,318.872,388.44
Payout Ratio24.20%37.36%50.52%63.68%76.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)528.00825.141,129.481,441.141,760.262,086.992,209.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.89%8.89%8.89%
Growth Rate0.22%1.22%2.22%
Year 1 PV (M)750.26757.75765.24
Year 2 PV (M)933.79952.52971.43
Year 3 PV (M)1,083.351,116.101,149.50
Year 4 PV (M)1,203.171,251.911,302.12
Year 5 PV (M)1,297.051,363.061,431.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)23,298.8424,484.6025,718.16
Equity Value (M)28,566.4629,925.9431,338.18
Shares Outstanding (M)478.25478.25478.25
Fair Value$59.73$62.57$65.53
Upside / Downside-34.33%-31.20%-27.95%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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