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Definitive Analysis

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Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$572.98 - $3,273.95$1,048.98
Multi-Stage$343.27 - $375.14$358.92
Blended Fair Value$703.95
Current Price$466.11
Upside51.03%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.71%14.79%6.094.934.574.043.543.072.672.452.142.33
YoY Growth--23.66%7.77%13.01%14.33%15.33%14.70%9.33%14.03%-7.97%52.01%
Dividend Yield--1.31%1.06%1.42%1.01%0.95%0.95%1.10%1.06%1.17%1.80%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)589.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)223.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)366.07
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)117.9073.6944.21
Cash Retained (M)366.07366.07366.07
(-) Cash Required (M)-117.90-73.69-44.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)248.17292.38321.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)34.4634.4634.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.208.489.34
LTM Dividend per Share6.486.486.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.208.489.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend13.6814.9715.82
WACC / Discount Rate8.02%8.02%8.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$572.98$1,048.98$3,273.95
Upside / Downside22.93%125.05%602.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)589.51627.82668.63712.09758.38807.67831.90
Payout Ratio37.90%48.32%58.74%69.16%79.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)223.43303.37392.76492.49603.52726.91769.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.02%8.02%8.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)278.21280.85283.49
Year 2 PV (M)330.32336.61342.96
Year 3 PV (M)379.84390.74401.85
Year 4 PV (M)426.87443.29460.17
Year 5 PV (M)471.50494.27517.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,943.9010,424.1910,922.87
Equity Value (M)11,830.6312,369.9512,929.26
Shares Outstanding (M)34.4634.4634.46
Fair Value$343.27$358.92$375.14
Upside / Downside-26.35%-23.00%-19.52%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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