Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Carriage Services, Inc. (CSV)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Personal Products & ServicesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$58.66 - $124.99$83.42
Multi-Stage$52.78 - $57.79$55.24
Blended Fair Value$69.33
Current Price$44.54
Upside55.65%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.75%13.98%0.440.430.440.470.390.350.360.240.160.12
YoY Growth--1.48%-0.81%-6.90%20.11%12.04%-2.09%48.64%48.84%37.00%-1.14%
Dividend Yield--1.13%1.63%1.43%0.88%1.11%2.15%1.85%0.86%0.59%0.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)48.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)42.03
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.806.123.67
Cash Retained (M)42.0342.0342.03
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.80-6.12-3.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)32.2335.9138.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.5315.5315.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.082.312.47
LTM Dividend per Share0.450.450.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.082.312.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.522.762.92
WACC / Discount Rate8.45%8.45%8.45%
Growth Rate3.98%4.98%5.98%
Fair Value$58.66$83.42$124.99
Upside / Downside31.70%87.28%180.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)48.9951.4354.0056.6859.5162.4764.35
Payout Ratio14.21%29.37%44.53%59.68%74.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.9615.1124.0433.8344.5456.2259.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.45%8.45%8.45%
Growth Rate3.98%4.98%5.98%
Year 1 PV (M)13.8013.9314.06
Year 2 PV (M)20.0520.4420.83
Year 3 PV (M)25.7726.5227.29
Year 4 PV (M)30.9832.1933.43
Year 5 PV (M)35.7237.4739.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)693.17727.15762.44
Equity Value (M)819.48857.69897.35
Shares Outstanding (M)15.5315.5315.53
Fair Value$52.78$55.24$57.79
Upside / Downside18.50%24.02%29.75%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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