Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Crawford & Company (CRD-A)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - BrokersSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.15 - $9.50$7.70
Multi-Stage$9.94 - $10.91$10.42
Blended Fair Value$9.06
Current Price$10.70
Upside-15.33%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.87%1.62%0.280.250.240.250.190.260.270.270.270.27
YoY Growth--8.30%7.25%-6.48%31.29%-26.77%-2.64%-1.26%1.00%0.40%15.31%
Dividend Yield--2.41%2.82%2.84%3.35%1.81%3.66%2.98%3.42%3.34%4.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)32.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)18.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.524.072.44
Cash Retained (M)18.5218.5218.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.52-4.07-2.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)12.0014.4516.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)49.9449.9449.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.290.32
LTM Dividend per Share0.280.280.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.290.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.520.570.60
WACC / Discount Rate8.08%8.08%8.08%
Growth Rate-0.38%0.62%1.62%
Fair Value$6.15$7.70$9.50
Upside / Downside-42.54%-28.01%-11.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)32.6032.8033.0033.2033.4133.6134.62
Payout Ratio43.18%52.54%61.91%71.27%80.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14.0717.2320.4323.6626.9430.2532.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.08%8.08%8.08%
Growth Rate-0.38%0.62%1.62%
Year 1 PV (M)15.7915.9416.10
Year 2 PV (M)17.1417.4917.84
Year 3 PV (M)18.1918.7419.31
Year 4 PV (M)18.9719.7420.54
Year 5 PV (M)19.5220.5221.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)406.92427.76449.44
Equity Value (M)496.52520.19544.79
Shares Outstanding (M)49.9449.9449.94
Fair Value$9.94$10.42$10.91
Upside / Downside-7.07%-2.64%1.96%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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