Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Cloetta AB (publ) (CLA-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Food ConfectionersSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$45.42 - $97.05$64.66
Multi-Stage$88.09 - $96.87$92.39
Blended Fair Value$78.53
Current Price$33.92
Upside131.51%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.14%0.00%1.001.001.010.750.501.011.520.760.500.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-0.70%33.49%50.35%-50.17%-33.72%100.46%50.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.52%5.49%4.60%2.93%1.96%4.28%6.24%2.38%1.43%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)716.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)313.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)403.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)143.2089.5053.70
Cash Retained (M)403.00403.00403.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-143.20-89.50-53.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)259.80313.50349.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)285.18285.18285.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.911.101.22
LTM Dividend per Share1.101.101.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.911.101.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.012.202.32
WACC / Discount Rate5.40%5.40%5.40%
Growth Rate0.94%1.94%2.94%
Fair Value$45.42$64.66$97.05
Upside / Downside33.91%90.63%186.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)716.00729.87744.00758.41773.10788.07811.71
Payout Ratio43.72%52.97%62.23%71.49%80.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)313.00386.63462.98542.16624.22709.26750.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.40%5.40%5.40%
Growth Rate0.94%1.94%2.94%
Year 1 PV (M)363.22366.82370.42
Year 2 PV (M)408.62416.76424.98
Year 3 PV (M)449.53463.02476.79
Year 4 PV (M)486.24505.80525.94
Year 5 PV (M)519.04545.26572.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)22,894.7524,051.5625,254.67
Equity Value (M)25,121.4026,349.2327,625.33
Shares Outstanding (M)285.18285.18285.18
Fair Value$88.09$92.39$96.87
Upside / Downside159.70%172.39%185.58%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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