Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Analysis Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

COPT Defense Properties (CDP)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - OfficeSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.68 - $23.91$18.82
Multi-Stage$22.45 - $24.62$23.51
Blended Fair Value$21.16
Current Price$29.06
Upside-27.17%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-90.08%-67.73%0.001.121.091.091.091.081.010.960.920.91
YoY Growth---100.00%2.86%0.10%0.13%0.58%7.32%4.68%4.84%0.48%7.59%
Dividend Yield--0.00%4.73%4.60%3.82%4.14%4.89%3.69%3.76%2.78%3.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)149.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)67.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)82.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)29.9918.7411.25
Cash Retained (M)82.2482.2482.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-29.99-18.74-11.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)52.2563.4970.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)113.28113.28113.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.460.560.63
LTM Dividend per Share0.600.600.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.460.560.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.061.161.22
WACC / Discount Rate7.78%7.78%7.78%
Growth Rate0.53%1.53%2.53%
Fair Value$14.68$18.82$23.91
Upside / Downside-49.47%-35.25%-17.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)149.94152.23154.56156.93159.33161.77166.62
Payout Ratio45.15%54.12%63.09%72.06%81.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)67.7082.3997.51113.08129.10145.59154.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.78%7.78%7.78%
Growth Rate0.53%1.53%2.53%
Year 1 PV (M)75.6976.4477.19
Year 2 PV (M)82.3083.9485.61
Year 3 PV (M)87.6890.3293.01
Year 4 PV (M)91.9695.6799.50
Year 5 PV (M)95.27100.10105.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,109.932,216.982,328.33
Equity Value (M)2,542.822,663.462,788.77
Shares Outstanding (M)113.28113.28113.28
Fair Value$22.45$23.51$24.62
Upside / Downside-22.75%-19.09%-15.28%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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