Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Century Communities, Inc. (CCS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Residential ConstructionSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$124.30 - $254.98$174.35
Multi-Stage$91.65 - $100.10$95.80
Blended Fair Value$135.07
Current Price$63.37
Upside113.15%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%1.060.950.840.490.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--11.47%12.86%71.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.58%0.99%1.31%0.92%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)214.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)34.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)179.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)42.8826.8016.08
Cash Retained (M)179.95179.95179.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-42.88-26.80-16.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)137.07153.15163.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)30.9830.9830.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.424.945.29
LTM Dividend per Share1.111.111.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.424.945.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.546.066.40
WACC / Discount Rate10.20%10.20%10.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$124.30$174.35$254.98
Upside / Downside96.15%175.13%302.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)214.38228.32243.16258.96275.80293.72302.53
Payout Ratio16.06%30.85%45.64%60.42%75.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)34.4370.43110.97156.48207.43264.35279.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.20%10.20%10.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)63.3263.9264.52
Year 2 PV (M)89.6791.3893.10
Year 3 PV (M)113.67116.93120.25
Year 4 PV (M)135.45140.66146.02
Year 5 PV (M)155.17162.67170.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,281.832,392.052,506.48
Equity Value (M)2,839.112,967.593,100.81
Shares Outstanding (M)30.9830.9830.98
Fair Value$91.65$95.80$100.10
Upside / Downside44.62%51.17%57.95%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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