Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Capital City Bank Group, Inc. (CCBG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$131.67 - $710.68$258.01
Multi-Stage$74.55 - $81.53$77.98
Blended Fair Value$167.99
Current Price$41.79
Upside302.00%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.12%25.26%0.870.760.660.610.560.470.320.240.170.13
YoY Growth--15.51%15.32%7.00%9.32%18.89%47.46%34.05%40.87%28.96%42.92%
Dividend Yield--2.43%2.74%2.24%2.33%2.16%2.35%1.45%0.96%0.79%0.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)60.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)44.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.197.624.57
Cash Retained (M)44.9644.9644.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.19-7.62-4.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)32.7737.3440.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.0517.0517.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.922.192.37
LTM Dividend per Share0.940.940.94
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.922.192.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.863.133.31
WACC / Discount Rate7.79%7.79%7.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$131.67$258.01$710.68
Upside / Downside215.07%517.40%1,600.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)60.9464.9069.1273.6178.4083.5086.00
Payout Ratio26.22%38.98%51.73%64.49%77.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15.9825.3035.7647.4760.5675.1579.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.79%7.79%7.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)23.2523.4723.69
Year 2 PV (M)30.2030.7831.36
Year 3 PV (M)36.8537.9138.98
Year 4 PV (M)43.2044.8646.57
Year 5 PV (M)49.2651.6454.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,088.571,141.151,195.74
Equity Value (M)1,271.331,329.801,390.45
Shares Outstanding (M)17.0517.0517.05
Fair Value$74.55$77.98$81.53
Upside / Downside78.39%86.59%95.10%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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