Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Camil Alimentos S.A. (CAML3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$48.93 - $93.37$87.51
Multi-Stage$14.80 - $16.19$15.49
Blended Fair Value$51.50
Current Price$4.89
Upside953.09%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS7.09%11.39%0.290.290.370.260.610.200.190.470.450.09
YoY Growth--0.00%-23.08%44.44%-58.14%202.82%9.23%-60.61%5.28%422.41%-11.76%
Dividend Yield--6.01%3.10%5.76%3.00%7.09%2.39%3.43%7.50%6.55%1.25%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)164.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)100.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)64.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)32.8820.5512.33
Cash Retained (M)64.4264.4264.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-32.88-20.55-12.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)31.5343.8652.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)350.18350.18350.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.130.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.130.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.380.410.43
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$48.93$87.51$93.37
Upside / Downside900.67%1,689.49%1,809.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)164.42175.10186.48198.61211.51225.26232.02
Payout Ratio60.82%66.66%72.49%78.33%84.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)100.00116.72135.19155.56178.02202.74214.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)108.76109.79110.82
Year 2 PV (M)117.38119.62121.87
Year 3 PV (M)125.86129.48133.16
Year 4 PV (M)134.21139.37144.68
Year 5 PV (M)142.42149.30156.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,555.234,775.245,003.68
Equity Value (M)5,183.865,422.805,670.66
Shares Outstanding (M)350.18350.18350.18
Fair Value$14.80$15.49$16.19
Upside / Downside202.73%216.68%231.16%

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