Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Cambuci S.A. (CAMB3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: LeisureSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$30.24 - $66.95$43.59
Multi-Stage$38.06 - $41.74$39.87
Blended Fair Value$41.73
Current Price$9.75
Upside327.96%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.450.300.190.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--51.02%54.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.52%2.69%3.23%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)66.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)35.82
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.218.254.95
Cash Retained (M)35.8235.8235.82
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.21-8.25-4.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)22.6127.5730.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)41.8441.8441.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.540.660.74
LTM Dividend per Share0.720.720.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.540.660.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.261.381.46
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate2.43%3.43%4.43%
Fair Value$30.24$43.59$66.95
Upside / Downside210.14%347.04%586.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)66.0368.3070.6473.0675.5778.1680.51
Payout Ratio45.75%54.60%63.45%72.30%81.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.2137.2944.8252.8361.3370.3574.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate2.43%3.43%4.43%
Year 1 PV (M)34.6134.9535.29
Year 2 PV (M)38.6139.3740.13
Year 3 PV (M)42.2343.4844.75
Year 4 PV (M)45.5047.3049.16
Year 5 PV (M)48.4450.8553.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,383.091,451.941,523.50
Equity Value (M)1,592.471,667.881,746.18
Shares Outstanding (M)41.8441.8441.84
Fair Value$38.06$39.87$41.74
Upside / Downside290.39%308.88%328.07%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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