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Definitive Analysis

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Camden National Corporation (CAC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$92.50 - $296.75$149.40
Multi-Stage$67.52 - $73.78$70.59
Blended Fair Value$110.00
Current Price$38.59
Upside185.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.75%11.75%1.491.491.431.281.211.131.040.870.750.60
YoY Growth--0.09%4.36%11.53%6.24%6.84%8.17%19.88%15.56%26.66%21.03%
Dividend Yield--3.69%4.65%3.95%2.73%2.52%3.59%2.45%1.96%1.71%2.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)57.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)27.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)29.78
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.457.164.30
Cash Retained (M)29.7829.7829.78
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.45-7.16-4.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)18.3322.6225.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16.4416.4416.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.111.381.55
LTM Dividend per Share1.671.671.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.111.381.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.793.053.22
WACC / Discount Rate8.11%8.11%8.11%
Growth Rate4.95%5.95%6.95%
Fair Value$92.50$149.40$296.75
Upside / Downside139.70%287.15%668.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)57.2760.6864.2968.1272.1776.4778.76
Payout Ratio47.99%56.39%64.80%73.20%81.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)27.4834.2241.6649.8658.8968.8272.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.11%8.11%8.11%
Growth Rate4.95%5.95%6.95%
Year 1 PV (M)31.3531.6531.95
Year 2 PV (M)34.9735.6436.31
Year 3 PV (M)38.3539.4540.58
Year 4 PV (M)41.5043.1044.75
Year 5 PV (M)44.4346.5948.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)919.76964.421,010.79
Equity Value (M)1,110.361,160.851,213.22
Shares Outstanding (M)16.4416.4416.44
Fair Value$67.52$70.59$73.78
Upside / Downside74.97%82.93%91.18%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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