Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Sector

Jardine Cycle & Carriage Limited (C07.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$69.90 - $128.84$94.17
Multi-Stage$96.61 - $105.92$101.18
Blended Fair Value$97.67
Current Price$19.17
Upside409.51%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.07%2.08%1.181.120.900.520.790.880.860.740.680.77
YoY Growth--5.31%24.06%74.40%-34.22%-10.39%2.33%15.36%8.92%-11.70%-19.42%
Dividend Yield--5.69%4.94%4.24%3.39%5.32%3.93%3.31%2.44%2.40%3.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,884.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)902.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)981.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)376.80235.50141.30
Cash Retained (M)981.30981.30981.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-376.80-235.50-141.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)604.50745.80840.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)395.20395.20395.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.531.892.13
LTM Dividend per Share2.282.282.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.531.892.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.814.174.41
WACC / Discount Rate7.25%7.25%7.25%
Growth Rate1.70%2.70%3.70%
Fair Value$69.90$94.17$128.84
Upside / Downside264.61%391.23%572.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,884.001,934.941,987.252,040.972,096.152,152.822,217.41
Payout Ratio47.91%56.33%64.75%73.17%81.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)902.701,089.971,286.711,493.291,710.101,937.542,051.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.25%7.25%7.25%
Growth Rate1.70%2.70%3.70%
Year 1 PV (M)1,006.371,016.261,026.16
Year 2 PV (M)1,096.891,118.571,140.46
Year 3 PV (M)1,175.361,210.371,246.07
Year 4 PV (M)1,242.761,292.371,343.44
Year 5 PV (M)1,300.051,365.231,433.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)32,360.0533,982.5435,669.47
Equity Value (M)38,181.4739,985.3441,858.60
Shares Outstanding (M)395.20395.20395.20
Fair Value$96.61$101.18$105.92
Upside / Downside403.98%427.79%452.52%

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