Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

BlueVenture Group Public Company Limited (BVG.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.09 - $1.60$1.33
Multi-Stage$1.81 - $1.99$1.90
Blended Fair Value$1.62
Current Price$1.77
Upside-8.72%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.74%0.00%0.080.070.160.120.090.080.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--23.95%-58.56%37.73%31.74%11.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.35%1.26%2.28%3.05%2.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)62.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)36.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)25.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.437.774.66
Cash Retained (M)25.6825.6825.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.43-7.77-4.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.2517.9121.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)450.00450.00450.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.110.120.13
WACC / Discount Rate8.72%8.72%8.72%
Growth Rate-1.32%-0.32%0.68%
Fair Value$1.09$1.33$1.60
Upside / Downside-38.67%-24.74%-9.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)62.1361.9361.7361.5361.3461.1462.97
Payout Ratio58.67%64.94%71.20%77.47%83.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)36.4540.2143.9547.6751.3655.0358.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.72%8.72%8.72%
Growth Rate-1.32%-0.32%0.68%
Year 1 PV (M)36.6236.9937.36
Year 2 PV (M)36.4437.1837.93
Year 3 PV (M)35.9937.0938.22
Year 4 PV (M)35.3136.7638.26
Year 5 PV (M)34.4436.2338.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)637.43670.39704.70
Equity Value (M)816.23854.64894.55
Shares Outstanding (M)450.00450.00450.00
Fair Value$1.81$1.90$1.99
Upside / Downside2.48%7.30%12.31%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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