Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

PT Bank BTPN Syariah Tbk (BTPS.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,136.98 - $1,663.90$1,391.04
Multi-Stage$1,962.16 - $2,157.83$2,058.09
Blended Fair Value$1,724.57
Current Price$1,315.00
Upside31.15%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%68.1888.4258.6031.4342.620.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---22.89%50.88%86.46%-26.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.53%7.02%2.68%0.95%1.22%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,152,990.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)259,604.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)893,386.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)230,598.00144,123.7586,474.25
Cash Retained (M)893,386.00893,386.00893,386.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-230,598.00-144,123.75-86,474.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)662,788.00749,262.25806,911.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7,703.407,703.407,703.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share86.0497.26104.75
LTM Dividend per Share33.7033.7033.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share86.0497.26104.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend119.74130.96138.45
WACC / Discount Rate8.32%8.32%8.32%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1,136.98$1,391.04$1,663.90
Upside / Downside-13.54%5.78%26.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,152,990.001,141,460.101,130,045.501,118,745.041,107,557.591,096,482.021,129,376.48
Payout Ratio22.52%36.01%49.51%63.01%76.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)259,604.00411,069.19559,479.11704,879.72847,316.38986,833.821,044,673.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.32%8.32%8.32%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)375,659.65379,492.91383,326.17
Year 2 PV (M)467,243.34476,827.57486,509.10
Year 3 PV (M)537,964.83554,601.76571,578.21
Year 4 PV (M)590,968.18615,461.05640,707.48
Year 5 PV (M)628,987.68661,740.53695,843.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,514,510.8713,166,170.4913,844,698.47
Equity Value (M)15,115,334.5515,854,294.3016,622,663.22
Shares Outstanding (M)7,703.407,703.407,703.40
Fair Value$1,962.16$2,058.09$2,157.83
Upside / Downside49.21%56.51%64.09%

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