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Definitive Analysis

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Bailador Technology Investments Limited (BTI.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Investment - Banking & Investment ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.66 - $4.18$3.36
Multi-Stage$6.51 - $7.17$6.84
Blended Fair Value$5.10
Current Price$1.18
Upside331.92%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS33.68%0.00%0.060.050.070.000.000.010.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--7.82%-25.12%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.71%4.40%5.88%0.00%0.00%1.85%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)39.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)26.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.984.992.99
Cash Retained (M)26.0226.0226.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.98-4.99-2.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)18.0321.0323.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)146.76146.76146.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.120.140.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.120.140.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.220.240.25
WACC / Discount Rate6.02%6.02%6.02%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.66$3.36$4.18
Upside / Downside125.41%184.54%254.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)39.9239.5239.1338.7438.3537.9739.11
Payout Ratio34.83%45.87%56.90%67.93%78.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13.9118.1322.2726.3230.2834.1736.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.02%6.02%6.02%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)16.9317.1017.27
Year 2 PV (M)19.4119.8120.21
Year 3 PV (M)21.4222.0822.76
Year 4 PV (M)23.0223.9724.95
Year 5 PV (M)24.2525.5126.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)850.45894.73940.84
Equity Value (M)955.471,003.211,052.87
Shares Outstanding (M)146.76146.76146.76
Fair Value$6.51$6.84$7.17
Upside / Downside451.74%479.30%507.98%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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