Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Bourse Direct S.A. (BSD.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$40.04 - $138.02$129.35
Multi-Stage$18.42 - $20.15$19.27
Blended Fair Value$74.31
Current Price$4.35
Upside1,608.23%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.160.080.000.050.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--93.58%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.63%1.54%0.00%1.89%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)36.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18.58
(=) Cash Retained (M)17.76
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.274.542.73
Cash Retained (M)17.7617.7617.76
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.27-4.54-2.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)10.4913.2115.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)52.3152.3152.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.250.29
LTM Dividend per Share0.360.360.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.250.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.560.610.64
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate5.41%6.41%7.41%
Fair Value$40.04$129.35$138.02
Upside / Downside820.44%2,873.50%3,072.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)36.3438.6741.1443.7846.5949.5851.06
Payout Ratio51.14%58.91%66.68%74.46%82.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18.5822.7827.4432.6038.3144.6247.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate5.41%6.41%7.41%
Year 1 PV (M)21.1121.3121.51
Year 2 PV (M)23.5724.0224.47
Year 3 PV (M)25.9626.7027.46
Year 4 PV (M)28.2829.3630.48
Year 5 PV (M)30.5332.0033.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)834.29874.62916.50
Equity Value (M)963.741,008.031,053.97
Shares Outstanding (M)52.3152.3152.31
Fair Value$18.42$19.27$20.15
Upside / Downside323.50%342.96%363.15%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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