Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Bullpen Parlay Acquisition Company (BPAC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Shell CompaniesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.85 - $9.27$7.41
Multi-Stage$14.94 - $16.47$15.69
Blended Fair Value$11.55
Current Price$10.42
Upside10.87%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20222021
DPS0.00%0.00%92.670.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--889.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)10.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.202.001.20
Cash Retained (M)10.2110.2110.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.20-2.00-1.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)7.028.219.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)27.3127.3127.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.260.300.33
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.260.300.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.470.510.54
WACC / Discount Rate5.84%5.84%5.84%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.85$7.41$9.27
Upside / Downside-43.82%-28.85%-11.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15.9815.8215.6615.5015.3515.2015.65
Payout Ratio36.09%46.87%57.66%68.44%79.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.777.429.0310.6112.1613.6814.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.84%5.84%5.84%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)6.947.017.08
Year 2 PV (M)7.908.068.22
Year 3 PV (M)8.688.959.22
Year 4 PV (M)9.319.6910.09
Year 5 PV (M)9.7910.3010.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)365.50384.54404.35
Equity Value (M)408.12428.55449.80
Shares Outstanding (M)27.3127.3127.31
Fair Value$14.94$15.69$16.47
Upside / Downside43.40%50.58%58.05%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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