Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

PT Bank Maybank Indonesia Tbk (BNII.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$178.27 - $270.48$221.62
Multi-Stage$387.68 - $427.05$406.98
Blended Fair Value$314.30
Current Price$202.00
Upside55.59%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.26%0.00%10.297.726.473.324.836.614.735.110.000.00
YoY Growth--33.33%19.24%94.85%-31.27%-26.87%39.66%-7.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.42%3.04%2.81%1.09%1.34%4.79%1.75%1.88%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,563,233.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)446,335.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,116,898.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)312,646.60195,404.13117,242.48
Cash Retained (M)1,116,898.001,116,898.001,116,898.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-312,646.60-195,404.13-117,242.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)804,251.40921,493.88999,655.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)76,215.2076,215.2076,215.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share10.5512.0913.12
LTM Dividend per Share5.865.865.86
(+) Excess Retained per Share10.5512.0913.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend16.4117.9518.97
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate-2.27%-1.27%-0.27%
Fair Value$178.27$221.62$270.48
Upside / Downside-11.75%9.71%33.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,563,233.001,543,423.831,523,865.681,504,555.371,485,489.761,466,665.751,510,665.72
Payout Ratio28.55%40.84%53.13%65.42%77.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)446,335.00630,359.55809,648.54984,292.441,154,380.171,319,999.181,397,365.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate-2.27%-1.27%-0.27%
Year 1 PV (M)584,638.42590,620.42596,602.43
Year 2 PV (M)696,457.41710,782.60725,253.61
Year 3 PV (M)785,273.94809,626.14834,476.66
Year 4 PV (M)854,171.16889,670.83926,265.71
Year 5 PV (M)905,875.93953,178.591,002,436.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,720,900.6127,063,984.1628,462,596.86
Equity Value (M)29,547,317.4631,017,862.7332,547,632.22
Shares Outstanding (M)76,215.2076,215.2076,215.20
Fair Value$387.68$406.98$427.05
Upside / Downside91.92%101.47%111.41%

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