Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Keppel Corporation Limited (BN4.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.76 - $2.37$2.07
Multi-Stage$2.78 - $3.03$2.90
Blended Fair Value$2.49
Current Price$7.42
Upside-66.45%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.79%-2.24%0.330.320.350.190.150.230.290.200.300.48
YoY Growth--4.57%-9.59%86.04%26.61%-34.66%-20.57%44.73%-33.25%-37.57%14.36%
Dividend Yield--4.85%4.31%6.23%5.66%4.26%6.61%6.98%3.92%6.57%12.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)693.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)522.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)171.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)138.6586.6651.99
Cash Retained (M)171.20171.20171.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-138.65-86.66-51.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)32.5584.54119.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,833.511,833.511,833.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.050.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.280.280.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.050.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.300.330.35
WACC / Discount Rate12.19%12.19%12.19%
Growth Rate-4.24%-3.24%-2.24%
Fair Value$1.76$2.07$2.37
Upside / Downside-76.24%-72.04%-68.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)693.26670.78649.03627.98607.62587.92605.55
Payout Ratio75.31%78.24%81.18%84.12%87.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)522.06524.84526.90528.27529.00529.12560.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate12.19%12.19%12.19%
Growth Rate-4.24%-3.24%-2.24%
Year 1 PV (M)463.00467.84472.67
Year 2 PV (M)410.05418.66427.35
Year 3 PV (M)362.67374.15385.87
Year 4 PV (M)320.38333.97348.00
Year 5 PV (M)282.70297.77313.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,258.143,431.863,612.91
Equity Value (M)5,096.945,324.255,560.28
Shares Outstanding (M)1,833.511,833.511,833.51
Fair Value$2.78$2.90$3.03
Upside / Downside-62.54%-60.86%-59.13%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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