Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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BlackRock, Inc. (BLK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$689.19 - $1,403.83$964.21
Multi-Stage$567.75 - $619.02$592.92
Blended Fair Value$778.57
Current Price$1,165.87
Upside-33.22%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.15%8.77%19.8019.3819.0916.2614.4313.3812.5710.619.869.42
YoY Growth--2.17%1.51%17.39%12.70%7.82%6.50%18.41%7.57%4.67%10.31%
Dividend Yield--2.09%2.34%2.85%2.13%1.91%3.04%2.87%1.96%2.57%2.77%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,096.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,288.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,808.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,219.20762.00457.20
Cash Retained (M)2,808.002,808.002,808.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,219.20-762.00-457.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,588.802,046.002,350.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)156.63156.63156.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share10.1413.0615.01
LTM Dividend per Share20.9920.9920.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share10.1413.0615.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend31.1434.0636.00
WACC / Discount Rate9.76%9.76%9.76%
Growth Rate5.02%6.02%7.02%
Fair Value$689.19$964.21$1,403.83
Upside / Downside-40.89%-17.30%20.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,096.006,462.746,851.547,263.737,700.728,164.008,408.92
Payout Ratio53.94%61.15%68.36%75.57%82.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,288.003,951.944,683.865,489.556,375.237,347.607,778.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.76%9.76%9.76%
Growth Rate5.02%6.02%7.02%
Year 1 PV (M)3,566.553,600.513,634.47
Year 2 PV (M)3,814.873,887.873,961.56
Year 3 PV (M)4,035.064,151.434,270.02
Year 4 PV (M)4,229.094,392.494,560.58
Year 5 PV (M)4,398.814,612.274,833.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)68,879.5472,222.0775,693.12
Equity Value (M)88,923.9292,866.6496,953.70
Shares Outstanding (M)156.63156.63156.63
Fair Value$567.75$592.92$619.02
Upside / Downside-51.30%-49.14%-46.91%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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