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Definitive Analysis

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Bel Fuse Inc. (BELFA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$40.79 - $59.93$49.99
Multi-Stage$60.64 - $66.67$63.60
Blended Fair Value$56.80
Current Price$141.02
Upside-59.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.60%0.89%0.280.280.270.270.270.270.260.260.260.26
YoY Growth---1.12%2.31%1.01%0.48%0.33%1.73%0.43%1.11%0.22%2.47%
Dividend Yield--0.37%0.46%0.73%1.52%1.36%2.76%1.02%1.39%1.02%1.78%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)65.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)61.73
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.048.154.89
Cash Retained (M)61.7361.7361.73
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.04-8.15-4.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)48.6953.5856.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.4612.4612.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.914.304.56
LTM Dividend per Share0.280.280.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.914.304.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.184.584.84
WACC / Discount Rate9.09%9.09%9.09%
Growth Rate-1.06%-0.06%0.94%
Fair Value$40.79$49.99$59.93
Upside / Downside-71.07%-64.55%-57.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)65.1965.1565.1165.0765.0364.9966.94
Payout Ratio5.31%22.25%39.18%56.12%73.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.4614.4925.5136.5247.5158.4961.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.09%9.09%9.09%
Growth Rate-1.06%-0.06%0.94%
Year 1 PV (M)13.1513.2813.42
Year 2 PV (M)21.0121.4421.87
Year 3 PV (M)27.2928.1328.98
Year 4 PV (M)32.2233.5534.91
Year 5 PV (M)36.0037.8639.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)625.94658.21691.81
Equity Value (M)755.62792.47830.78
Shares Outstanding (M)12.4612.4612.46
Fair Value$60.64$63.60$66.67
Upside / Downside-57.00%-54.90%-52.72%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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