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Definitive Analysis

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The Becker Milk Company Limited (BEK-B.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.93 - $15.57$13.21
Multi-Stage$30.50 - $33.67$32.05
Blended Fair Value$22.63
Current Price$12.89
Upside75.58%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-22.16%0.00%0.801.800.800.800.802.800.800.800.800.80
YoY Growth---55.56%125.00%0.00%0.00%-71.43%250.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.21%14.40%6.26%5.65%5.87%24.35%5.76%5.49%5.10%5.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.610.380.23
Cash Retained (M)1.601.601.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.61-0.38-0.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.991.221.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1.811.811.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.550.680.76
LTM Dividend per Share0.800.800.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.550.680.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.351.481.56
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate-5.27%-4.27%-3.27%
Fair Value$10.93$13.21$15.57
Upside / Downside-15.19%2.51%20.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3.052.922.802.682.562.452.53
Payout Ratio47.42%55.94%64.45%72.97%81.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.451.631.801.952.092.212.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate-5.27%-4.27%-3.27%
Year 1 PV (M)1.521.541.55
Year 2 PV (M)1.561.591.62
Year 3 PV (M)1.571.621.67
Year 4 PV (M)1.561.631.70
Year 5 PV (M)1.531.621.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)47.4149.9752.63
Equity Value (M)55.1557.9660.88
Shares Outstanding (M)1.811.811.81
Fair Value$30.50$32.05$33.67
Upside / Downside136.61%148.65%161.18%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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