Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Bath & Body Works, Inc. (BBWI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.48 - $19.39$17.01
Multi-Stage$24.13 - $26.56$25.32
Blended Fair Value$21.16
Current Price$24.48
Upside-13.55%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-11.82%-12.73%0.830.850.870.560.391.553.113.215.935.48
YoY Growth---2.75%-2.15%55.00%44.58%-75.00%-50.15%-2.92%-45.90%8.28%69.46%
Dividend Yield--2.65%1.85%2.48%1.06%0.73%16.01%14.87%11.56%13.90%8.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)699.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)169.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)530.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)139.8087.3852.43
Cash Retained (M)530.00530.00530.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-139.80-87.38-52.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)390.20442.63477.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)213.81213.81213.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.832.072.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.790.790.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.832.072.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.622.863.02
WACC / Discount Rate10.51%10.51%10.51%
Growth Rate-6.40%-5.40%-4.40%
Fair Value$14.48$17.01$19.39
Upside / Downside-40.86%-30.51%-20.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)699.00661.29625.61591.85559.92529.71545.60
Payout Ratio24.18%37.34%50.51%63.67%76.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)169.00246.94315.97376.84430.22476.74504.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.51%10.51%10.51%
Growth Rate-6.40%-5.40%-4.40%
Year 1 PV (M)221.08223.44225.81
Year 2 PV (M)253.27258.71264.21
Year 3 PV (M)270.43279.19288.14
Year 4 PV (M)276.41288.41300.80
Year 5 PV (M)274.23289.19304.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,863.334,074.154,294.08
Equity Value (M)5,158.745,413.095,677.83
Shares Outstanding (M)213.81213.81213.81
Fair Value$24.13$25.32$26.56
Upside / Downside-1.44%3.42%8.48%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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