Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Banco da Amazônia S.A. (BAZA3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,055.32 - $3,808.21$3,357.70
Multi-Stage$485.68 - $531.22$508.03
Blended Fair Value$1,932.87
Current Price$75.29
Upside2,467.23%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS54.07%19.98%6.620.003.621.371.900.760.000.001.641.54
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%163.68%-27.59%148.98%0.00%0.00%-100.00%6.59%44.16%
Dividend Yield--7.56%0.00%5.18%2.95%4.72%2.63%0.00%0.00%5.63%5.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,073.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)448.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)624.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)214.69134.1880.51
Cash Retained (M)624.80624.80624.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-214.69-134.18-80.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)410.11490.62544.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)56.0656.0656.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.328.759.71
LTM Dividend per Share8.008.008.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.328.759.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend15.3216.7617.71
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,055.32$3,357.70$3,808.21
Upside / Downside1,301.67%4,359.69%4,958.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,073.451,143.221,217.531,296.671,380.951,470.721,514.84
Payout Ratio41.79%51.44%61.08%70.72%80.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)448.64588.02743.63916.981,109.721,323.651,401.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)544.24549.39554.55
Year 2 PV (M)637.00649.13661.38
Year 3 PV (M)727.00747.87769.13
Year 4 PV (M)814.29845.61877.82
Year 5 PV (M)898.94942.36987.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)23,605.0524,745.1825,928.95
Equity Value (M)27,226.5128,479.5429,779.27
Shares Outstanding (M)56.0656.0656.06
Fair Value$485.68$508.03$531.22
Upside / Downside545.08%574.77%605.56%

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