Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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AZZ Inc. (AZZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$197.45 - $425.12$281.82
Multi-Stage$155.43 - $170.04$162.60
Blended Fair Value$222.21
Current Price$112.89
Upside96.84%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-41.70%-22.27%0.041.040.750.560.580.590.590.590.550.51
YoY Growth---96.18%38.17%34.76%-4.35%-1.01%0.59%0.23%6.21%7.51%3.93%
Dividend Yield--0.04%1.24%2.16%1.25%1.07%1.86%1.39%1.35%1.02%0.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)314.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)27.93
(=) Cash Retained (M)286.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)62.8139.2623.55
Cash Retained (M)286.14286.14286.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-62.81-39.26-23.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)223.33246.88262.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)30.1930.1930.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.408.188.70
LTM Dividend per Share0.930.930.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.408.188.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.329.109.62
WACC / Discount Rate9.22%9.22%9.22%
Growth Rate4.81%5.81%6.81%
Fair Value$197.45$281.82$425.12
Upside / Downside74.91%149.64%276.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)314.07332.30351.60372.01393.62416.47428.97
Payout Ratio8.89%25.11%41.34%57.56%73.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)27.9383.45145.33214.12290.40374.82396.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.22%9.22%9.22%
Growth Rate4.81%5.81%6.81%
Year 1 PV (M)75.6876.4077.13
Year 2 PV (M)119.53121.82124.14
Year 3 PV (M)159.71164.32169.03
Year 4 PV (M)196.44204.04211.87
Year 5 PV (M)229.94241.12252.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,910.584,100.734,298.22
Equity Value (M)4,691.874,908.445,133.10
Shares Outstanding (M)30.1930.1930.19
Fair Value$155.43$162.60$170.04
Upside / Downside37.68%44.04%50.63%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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