Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Azkoyen, S.A. (AZK.MC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Business Equipment & SuppliesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$37.16 - $111.72$58.97
Multi-Stage$41.92 - $45.95$43.90
Blended Fair Value$51.43
Current Price$9.32
Upside451.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-21.68%0.00%0.360.180.240.200.001.220.160.140.050.04
YoY Growth--94.18%-21.86%18.21%0.00%-100.00%674.30%15.24%187.97%15.50%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.82%2.91%3.83%3.88%0.00%18.28%2.40%1.68%0.81%0.91%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)36.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.244.522.71
Cash Retained (M)14.2414.2414.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.24-4.52-2.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)7.009.7111.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.3824.3824.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.290.400.47
LTM Dividend per Share0.900.900.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.290.400.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.191.301.37
WACC / Discount Rate6.30%6.30%6.30%
Growth Rate3.01%4.01%5.01%
Fair Value$37.16$58.97$111.72
Upside / Downside298.76%532.68%1,098.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)36.1837.6339.1340.7042.3344.0345.35
Payout Ratio60.65%66.52%72.39%78.26%84.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21.9425.0328.3331.8535.6139.6241.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.30%6.30%6.30%
Growth Rate3.01%4.01%5.01%
Year 1 PV (M)23.3223.5523.77
Year 2 PV (M)24.5925.0725.56
Year 3 PV (M)25.7626.5227.29
Year 4 PV (M)26.8427.9028.99
Year 5 PV (M)27.8229.2030.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)893.76937.99983.96
Equity Value (M)1,022.101,070.231,120.21
Shares Outstanding (M)24.3824.3824.38
Fair Value$41.92$43.90$45.95
Upside / Downside349.80%370.98%392.98%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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