Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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ASX Limited (ASX.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Data & Stock ExchangesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$33.68 - $49.09$41.13
Multi-Stage$80.41 - $88.48$84.37
Blended Fair Value$62.75
Current Price$69.76
Upside-10.05%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-10.72%1.15%2.042.022.362.272.353.592.232.072.011.94
YoY Growth--1.15%-14.59%3.79%-3.12%-34.70%60.97%8.01%3.03%3.51%6.58%
Dividend Yield--2.92%3.38%3.74%2.78%3.02%4.21%2.68%3.21%3.74%4.23%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)889.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)597.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)292.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)177.99111.2466.75
Cash Retained (M)292.24292.24292.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-177.99-111.24-66.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)114.25181.00225.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)193.83193.83193.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.590.931.16
LTM Dividend per Share3.083.083.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.590.931.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.674.024.25
WACC / Discount Rate6.90%6.90%6.90%
Growth Rate-3.61%-2.61%-1.61%
Fair Value$33.68$41.13$49.09
Upside / Downside-51.72%-41.04%-29.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)889.94866.71844.08822.04800.57779.67803.06
Payout Ratio67.16%71.73%76.30%80.86%85.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)597.70621.68644.00664.74683.95701.70742.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.90%6.90%6.90%
Growth Rate-3.61%-2.61%-1.61%
Year 1 PV (M)575.57581.55587.52
Year 2 PV (M)552.02563.53575.17
Year 3 PV (M)527.53544.12561.06
Year 4 PV (M)502.52523.70545.55
Year 5 PV (M)477.33502.61528.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,951.1413,637.0414,351.70
Equity Value (M)15,586.1216,352.5617,149.94
Shares Outstanding (M)193.83193.83193.83
Fair Value$80.41$84.37$88.48
Upside / Downside15.27%20.94%26.83%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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