Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Arcadis N.V. (ARCAD.AS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$384.65 - $833.63$781.23
Multi-Stage$127.08 - $139.04$132.95
Blended Fair Value$457.09
Current Price$41.20
Upside1,009.44%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS31.92%12.12%0.850.741.290.350.040.210.160.190.260.34
YoY Growth--14.73%-43.03%270.22%797.83%-81.61%33.09%-17.22%-26.49%-22.95%25.91%
Dividend Yield--1.44%1.52%3.52%0.83%0.14%1.02%1.53%1.04%2.02%1.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)376.74
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)196.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)180.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)75.3547.0928.26
Cash Retained (M)180.22180.22180.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-75.35-47.09-28.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)104.87133.13151.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)89.8889.8889.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.171.481.69
LTM Dividend per Share2.192.192.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.171.481.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.353.673.88
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$384.65$781.23$833.63
Upside / Downside833.61%1,796.19%1,923.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)376.74401.23427.31455.08484.66516.17531.65
Payout Ratio52.16%59.73%67.30%74.87%82.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)196.52239.66287.57340.70399.52464.55491.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)223.09225.20227.32
Year 2 PV (M)249.18253.92258.71
Year 3 PV (M)274.80282.69290.72
Year 4 PV (M)299.96311.49323.36
Year 5 PV (M)324.66340.35356.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,050.2510,535.6811,039.69
Equity Value (M)11,421.9311,949.3312,496.43
Shares Outstanding (M)89.8889.8889.88
Fair Value$127.08$132.95$139.04
Upside / Downside208.46%222.70%237.47%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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