Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

NSC Groupe S.A. (ALNSC.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$581.23 - $1,309.24$842.91
Multi-Stage$2,479.29 - $2,740.48$2,607.26
Blended Fair Value$1,725.08
Current Price$74.00
Upside2,231.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.002.312.752.502.752.60
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-16.08%9.97%-9.06%5.84%7.92%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%3.12%3.53%3.56%3.57%3.80%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)14.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.85
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.871.801.08
Cash Retained (M)13.8513.8513.85
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.87-1.80-1.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)10.9712.0512.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.460.460.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share23.7826.1127.67
LTM Dividend per Share1.131.131.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share23.7826.1127.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend24.9127.2428.80
WACC / Discount Rate2.20%2.20%2.20%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$581.23$842.91$1,309.24
Upside / Downside685.45%1,039.07%1,669.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)14.3714.2214.0813.9413.8013.6614.07
Payout Ratio3.63%20.90%38.18%55.45%72.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.522.975.387.7310.0412.3013.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.20%2.20%2.20%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2.882.912.94
Year 2 PV (M)5.045.155.25
Year 3 PV (M)7.027.247.46
Year 4 PV (M)8.839.209.58
Year 5 PV (M)10.4811.0311.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,109.751,167.541,227.71
Equity Value (M)1,144.011,203.061,264.53
Shares Outstanding (M)0.460.460.46
Fair Value$2,479.29$2,607.26$2,740.48
Upside / Downside3,250.39%3,423.33%3,603.35%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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