Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Moulinvest S.A. (ALMOU.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Paper, Lumber & Forest ProductsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.47 - $25.09$19.02
Multi-Stage$55.45 - $61.19$58.26
Blended Fair Value$38.64
Current Price$15.00
Upside157.62%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.331.000.650.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---67.03%53.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.33%3.83%1.40%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.700.440.26
Cash Retained (M)1.921.921.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.70-0.44-0.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.221.481.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.033.033.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.400.490.55
LTM Dividend per Share0.520.520.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.400.490.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.921.011.07
WACC / Discount Rate4.55%4.55%4.55%
Growth Rate-1.71%-0.71%0.29%
Fair Value$14.47$19.02$25.09
Upside / Downside-3.55%26.83%67.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3.483.463.433.413.393.363.46
Payout Ratio45.03%54.03%63.02%72.01%81.01%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.571.872.162.462.743.033.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.55%4.55%4.55%
Growth Rate-1.71%-0.71%0.29%
Year 1 PV (M)1.771.791.81
Year 2 PV (M)1.941.982.02
Year 3 PV (M)2.082.152.21
Year 4 PV (M)2.202.302.39
Year 5 PV (M)2.302.422.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)157.48165.66174.17
Equity Value (M)167.78176.29185.15
Shares Outstanding (M)3.033.033.03
Fair Value$55.45$58.26$61.19
Upside / Downside269.66%288.40%307.91%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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