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Al Khaleej Takaful Insurance Company Q.P.S.C. (AKHI.QA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.49 - $48.37$45.33
Multi-Stage$6.89 - $7.54$7.21
Blended Fair Value$26.27
Current Price$2.43
Upside981.15%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS19.89%0.00%0.120.090.070.050.050.050.010.060.100.13
YoY Growth--31.33%36.83%47.20%-6.35%0.00%238.60%-75.39%-40.00%-23.33%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.42%3.79%3.45%1.17%1.40%3.82%1.05%5.89%4.61%4.93%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)62.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)38.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)23.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.407.754.65
Cash Retained (M)23.4923.4923.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.40-7.75-4.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.0915.7418.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)254.99254.99254.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.060.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.060.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.190.210.22
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$17.49$45.33$48.37
Upside / Downside619.58%1,765.58%1,890.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)62.0266.0570.3574.9279.7984.9887.53
Payout Ratio62.13%67.70%73.28%78.85%84.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)38.5344.7251.5559.0767.3676.4880.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)41.5341.9242.31
Year 2 PV (M)44.4545.3046.15
Year 3 PV (M)47.3148.6750.05
Year 4 PV (M)50.1052.0254.00
Year 5 PV (M)52.8255.3758.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,521.781,595.281,671.60
Equity Value (M)1,757.981,838.561,922.14
Shares Outstanding (M)254.99254.99254.99
Fair Value$6.89$7.21$7.54
Upside / Downside183.72%196.72%210.21%

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