Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Alternative Investment Trust (AIQ.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.62 - $2.44$2.01
Multi-Stage$3.32 - $3.65$3.48
Blended Fair Value$2.74
Current Price$1.83
Upside49.85%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.060.070.040.040.030.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---5.79%61.76%6.01%35.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.35%5.24%4.11%3.20%2.73%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.53
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.440.900.54
Cash Retained (M)3.533.533.53
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.44-0.90-0.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.092.632.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)38.1638.1638.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.070.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.070.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.150.160.17
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.62$2.01$2.44
Upside / Downside-11.61%9.69%33.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7.197.127.046.976.906.837.04
Payout Ratio50.93%58.74%66.56%74.37%82.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.664.184.695.195.676.156.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)3.863.903.94
Year 2 PV (M)4.004.094.17
Year 3 PV (M)4.094.224.35
Year 4 PV (M)4.144.314.48
Year 5 PV (M)4.144.364.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)106.30111.84117.60
Equity Value (M)126.54132.71139.13
Shares Outstanding (M)38.1638.1638.16
Fair Value$3.32$3.48$3.65
Upside / Downside81.18%90.02%99.20%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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