Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Analysis Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Emerging Markets Debt Fund - Investor Class (AEDVX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.68 - $18.31$14.73
Multi-Stage$29.10 - $32.01$30.52
Blended Fair Value$22.63
Current Price$8.96
Upside152.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS0.00%0.00%0.921.031.111.201.230.001.240.650.680.74
YoY Growth---10.02%-7.11%-8.09%-2.08%0.00%-100.00%89.44%-3.82%-7.75%0.00%
Dividend Yield--10.31%11.68%11.91%11.39%13.56%0.00%12.21%6.37%6.87%7.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)71.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)54.84
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.288.935.36
Cash Retained (M)16.5716.5716.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.28-8.93-5.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.287.6411.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)59.3459.3459.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.130.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.920.920.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.130.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.961.051.11
WACC / Discount Rate6.08%6.08%6.08%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$11.68$14.73$18.31
Upside / Downside30.35%64.37%104.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)71.4070.6969.9869.2868.5967.9069.94
Payout Ratio76.80%79.44%82.08%84.72%87.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)54.8456.1557.4458.7059.9261.1164.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.08%6.08%6.08%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)52.4052.9453.47
Year 2 PV (M)50.0251.0552.08
Year 3 PV (M)47.7049.1750.68
Year 4 PV (M)45.4447.3249.27
Year 5 PV (M)43.2545.5047.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,488.031,565.511,646.19
Equity Value (M)1,726.841,811.501,899.54
Shares Outstanding (M)59.3459.3459.34
Fair Value$29.10$30.52$32.01
Upside / Downside224.76%240.68%257.24%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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