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PT Adira Dinamika Multi Finance Tbk (ADMF.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8,174.89 - $11,691.29$9,899.06
Multi-Stage$21,799.27 - $24,035.45$22,894.85
Blended Fair Value$16,396.96
Current Price$8,925.00
Upside83.72%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.37%-9.71%972.04803.03607.02513.021,054.54908.04704.53505.02332.51396.02
YoY Growth--21.05%32.29%18.32%-51.35%16.13%28.89%39.50%51.88%-16.04%-85.33%
Dividend Yield--10.57%5.90%5.92%5.98%12.67%12.66%6.65%8.28%4.84%12.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,230,852.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)703,000.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)527,852.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)246,170.40153,856.5092,313.90
Cash Retained (M)527,852.00527,852.00527,852.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-246,170.40-153,856.50-92,313.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)281,681.60373,995.50435,538.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)999.96999.96999.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share281.69374.01435.56
LTM Dividend per Share703.03703.03703.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share281.69374.01435.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend984.721,077.041,138.58
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate-4.86%-3.86%-2.86%
Fair Value$8,174.89$9,899.06$11,691.29
Upside / Downside-8.40%10.91%30.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,230,852.001,183,311.671,137,607.541,093,668.671,051,426.901,010,816.671,041,141.17
Payout Ratio57.11%63.69%70.27%76.85%83.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)703,000.00753,674.01799,384.82840,440.23877,131.67909,735.01963,055.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate-4.86%-3.86%-2.86%
Year 1 PV (M)699,672.96707,027.29714,381.61
Year 2 PV (M)688,936.19703,495.25718,206.54
Year 3 PV (M)672,421.34693,848.64715,726.37
Year 4 PV (M)651,494.87679,321.47708,030.08
Year 5 PV (M)627,296.22660,964.43696,063.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,458,572.7319,449,280.4420,482,077.33
Equity Value (M)21,798,394.3222,893,937.5224,034,484.94
Shares Outstanding (M)999.96999.96999.96
Fair Value$21,799.27$22,894.85$24,035.45
Upside / Downside144.25%156.52%169.30%

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