Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

ABO Energy GmbH & Co. KGaA (AB9.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$532.38 - $1,154.36$1,081.80
Multi-Stage$171.28 - $187.65$179.32
Blended Fair Value$630.56
Current Price$38.60
Upside1,533.57%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.50%13.72%0.600.540.490.450.390.350.330.410.210.18
YoY Growth--11.13%10.20%8.89%16.61%10.81%5.00%-20.01%99.95%13.67%10.01%
Dividend Yield--1.66%1.33%0.66%0.81%0.83%2.05%1.95%2.44%1.22%1.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)53.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)47.53
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.706.694.01
Cash Retained (M)47.5347.5347.53
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.70-6.69-4.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)36.8240.8443.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.229.229.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.994.434.72
LTM Dividend per Share0.650.650.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.994.434.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.645.085.37
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$532.38$1,081.80$1,154.36
Upside / Downside1,279.22%2,702.59%2,890.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)53.5257.0060.7164.6568.8573.3375.53
Payout Ratio11.20%26.96%42.72%58.48%74.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.9915.3725.9337.8151.1266.0069.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)14.3014.4414.58
Year 2 PV (M)22.4722.9023.33
Year 3 PV (M)30.4931.3732.26
Year 4 PV (M)38.3839.8541.37
Year 5 PV (M)46.1248.3550.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,427.591,496.541,568.13
Equity Value (M)1,579.361,653.451,730.34
Shares Outstanding (M)9.229.229.22
Fair Value$171.28$179.32$187.65
Upside / Downside343.73%364.55%386.15%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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