Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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NAK Sealing Technologies Corporation (9942.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$219.39 - $710.96$355.32
Multi-Stage$226.49 - $247.87$236.98
Blended Fair Value$296.15
Current Price$111.00
Upside166.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.76%3.42%6.965.574.974.184.184.184.183.983.983.98
YoY Growth--25.00%12.00%19.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%5.00%0.00%0.00%-20.00%
Dividend Yield--6.00%4.11%4.11%4.69%4.39%7.08%5.74%4.47%4.94%4.85%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)696.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)582.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)114.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)139.3587.1052.26
Cash Retained (M)114.64114.64114.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-139.35-87.10-52.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)-24.7127.5562.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)83.5883.5883.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.300.330.75
LTM Dividend per Share6.966.966.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.300.330.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.677.297.71
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate3.40%4.40%5.40%
Fair Value$219.39$355.32$710.96
Upside / Downside97.65%220.11%540.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)696.77727.40759.39792.77827.63864.01889.93
Payout Ratio83.55%84.84%86.13%87.42%88.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)582.13617.11654.04693.03734.18777.61823.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate3.40%4.40%5.40%
Year 1 PV (M)573.68579.23584.78
Year 2 PV (M)565.23576.21587.31
Year 3 PV (M)556.77573.08589.71
Year 4 PV (M)548.32569.85592.00
Year 5 PV (M)539.89566.51594.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,146.5216,942.5817,769.73
Equity Value (M)18,930.4219,807.4620,717.68
Shares Outstanding (M)83.5883.5883.58
Fair Value$226.49$236.98$247.87
Upside / Downside104.04%113.50%123.31%

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