Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Foods Gate Trading Co. (9562.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$50.81 - $74.52$62.23
Multi-Stage$87.50 - $96.29$91.81
Blended Fair Value$77.02
Current Price$38.00
Upside102.68%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.890.000.003.460.290.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%1,100.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.53%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.58
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.141.961.18
Cash Retained (M)13.5813.5813.58
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.14-1.96-1.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)10.4411.6212.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.362.362.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.424.915.25
LTM Dividend per Share0.890.890.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.424.915.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.315.806.14
WACC / Discount Rate8.23%8.23%8.23%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$50.81$62.23$74.52
Upside / Downside33.72%63.75%96.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15.6815.5215.3715.2115.0614.9115.36
Payout Ratio13.40%28.72%44.04%59.36%74.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.104.466.779.0311.2513.4214.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.23%8.23%8.23%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)4.084.124.16
Year 2 PV (M)5.665.785.89
Year 3 PV (M)6.917.127.34
Year 4 PV (M)7.878.208.53
Year 5 PV (M)8.599.049.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)173.75182.80192.22
Equity Value (M)206.86217.05227.65
Shares Outstanding (M)2.362.362.36
Fair Value$87.50$91.81$96.29
Upside / Downside130.25%141.60%153.40%

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