Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Academy Of Learning Company (9541.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Education & Training ServicesSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.54 - $11.08$8.52
Multi-Stage$25.81 - $28.47$27.12
Blended Fair Value$17.82
Current Price$9.50
Upside87.55%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.100.230.100.040.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---57.14%133.33%172.73%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.10%3.66%3.62%1.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)49.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)39.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)10.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.966.223.73
Cash Retained (M)10.8010.8010.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.96-6.22-3.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.844.577.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)90.6990.6990.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.050.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.430.430.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.050.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.440.480.51
WACC / Discount Rate4.58%4.58%4.58%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$6.54$8.52$11.08
Upside / Downside-31.16%-10.31%16.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)49.8049.3048.8048.3247.8347.3548.78
Payout Ratio78.32%80.66%82.99%85.33%87.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)39.0039.7640.5041.2341.9342.6245.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.58%4.58%4.58%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)37.6438.0238.40
Year 2 PV (M)36.2937.0337.78
Year 3 PV (M)34.9636.0437.15
Year 4 PV (M)33.6635.0536.49
Year 5 PV (M)32.3834.0735.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,165.982,278.772,396.21
Equity Value (M)2,340.902,458.982,581.85
Shares Outstanding (M)90.6990.6990.69
Fair Value$25.81$27.12$28.47
Upside / Downside171.72%185.42%199.68%

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