Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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RCE Capital Berhad (9296.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.64 - $0.98$0.80
Multi-Stage$1.47 - $1.61$1.54
Blended Fair Value$1.17
Current Price$1.12
Upside4.23%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020
DPS22.28%0.00%0.060.070.130.030.030.020.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---13.27%-44.44%287.40%19.36%22.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.95%5.27%12.13%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)102.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)95.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.27
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)20.5412.847.70
Cash Retained (M)7.277.277.27
(-) Cash Required (M)-20.54-12.84-7.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)-13.27-5.57-0.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,469.381,469.381,469.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.000.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.000.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.060.06
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate-1.99%-0.99%0.01%
Fair Value$0.64$0.80$0.98
Upside / Downside-43.02%-28.74%-12.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)102.69101.67100.6699.6798.6897.71100.64
Payout Ratio92.92%92.34%91.75%91.17%90.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)95.4293.8892.3690.8789.3987.9493.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate-1.99%-0.99%0.01%
Year 1 PV (M)87.1888.0788.96
Year 2 PV (M)79.6581.2982.94
Year 3 PV (M)72.7775.0277.32
Year 4 PV (M)66.4869.2372.07
Year 5 PV (M)60.7363.8967.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,787.271,880.321,977.21
Equity Value (M)2,154.082,257.822,365.68
Shares Outstanding (M)1,469.381,469.381,469.38
Fair Value$1.47$1.54$1.61
Upside / Downside30.89%37.19%43.75%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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